Betting on the Underdog in Esports: Is it Worth it?

Samuel Kiprop
Written bySamuel KipropWriter

Want to win big betting on e-sports in Kenya? Underdog teams offer massive payouts, but the risk is real. Esports betting is huge, and knowing which underdogs to back can seriously boost your winnings. But how do you spot a good underdog bet? EsportRanke provides the insights you need. We break down what makes an underdog team, how to assess the odds, and the pros and cons of betting against the favorites. Get the expert tips to decide if the potential reward is worth the risk. Make smarter bets and maximize your e-sports profits with EsportRanker!

Betting on the Underdog in Esports: Is it Worth it?

What Makes a Team the Underdog in Esports?

Esports betting is among the most popular forms of online betting, with millions of fans eager to test their skills and knowledge on their favorite esports games. One area that sparks curiosity is betting on the underdog teams, teams with less chance of winning. But could this be a better strategy for a higher reward? EsportRanker provides insights into what an underdog team is, how to approach a good underdog bet in esports and weigh the pros and cons of underdog betting to help you decide whether it’s worth the risk.

When you see a squad tagged as the underdog, it simply means bookmakers think they’ll lose. That’s why they get bigger betting odds. Picture a rookie lineup in a League of Legends clash against a top-tier roster—those fresh faces are the underdogs this time around.

Underdog Scenarios in Big Esports Titles

  • League of Legends (LoL): A wildcard squad making its Worlds debut.
  • CS:GO (Counter-Strike: Global Offensive): Regional teams you’ve barely heard of facing powerhouse European outfits.
  • Dota 2: Dark-horse teams scraping in through qualifiers up against past champions.

Why Fatter Odds Mean Bigger Payouts

Bookies use betting odds to mirror how likely an outcome is. When you back an underdog, the odds can soar, so even a small stake turns juicy. For example, betting KSh 1,030.70 on a team at odds of 4.5 could net you about KSh 4,638.15 if they pull off the upset. But remember—high reward often comes with high risk, since favourites dominate most matchups.

Crafting Your Underdog Betting Strategy

Successful underdog betting isn’t pure luck—it’s a mix of solid research, smart betting strategy, and disciplined bankroll management. Here’s how to level up:

Do Your Homework

  • Dive into recent results, player stats and even map records.
  • Check if that underdog thrives on certain maps or game modes.
  • Look for inconsistencies in the favourites—no team is perfect.

Pro tip: Keep an eye on local qualifiers like the National Electronic Sports Tournament. If you spot a rising Kenyan squad, you might grab serious value before the rest of the world tunes in.

Spot the Sweet Spots

Not every underdog is worth a punt. Look for:

  • Underrated teams with clever tactics but low spotlight.
  • Favourites known to slip up when they underestimate weaker foes.
  • Meta shifts after patches—sometimes a update favours quick-thinkers over established giants.

Keep Your Bankroll in Check

Betting on long shots can be a roller-coaster. Only risk a small slice of your funds on underdog bets. Use payment methods like M-Pesa or Airtel Money to top up and track your spending. Avoid chasing losses—discipline is key if you want to keep playing for the long haul.

Betting on the Underdog: Pros & Cons

| 🏆 Pros | ⚠️ Cons | | ———— | ————— | | 💰 Bigger Payouts: Small stakes can turn into serious wins. | 🎲 High Risk: Most underdogs get beaten, so you need solid strategy. | | 🎉 More Excitement: Cheering for the unknown makes viewing thrilling—just like Gor Mahia upsetting AFC Leopards! | 🔄 Unpredictable Variables: Technical hiccups or last-minute roster changes can spoil the plan. | | 🔍 Hidden Gems: Deep analysis can uncover teams flying under the radar. | ❤️ Emotional Bias: It’s easy to bet on your favourite, even when the numbers say no. |

How do underdog teams perform in esports betting?

How Often Do Underdogs Pull Off Surprises?

Statistically, backing underdogs in major events is a long shot. In the 2025 League of Legends World Championship, underdogs won just 18% of matches. But when they hit, the returns can be massive—like Fnatic toppling T1 in the group stage, rewarding brave bettors big time.

Legendary Underdog Wins

  1. OG’s Dota 2 Triumph at The International 2018 OG arrived as outsiders yet claimed victory over PSG.LGD in the grand finals. Early bets on them would’ve turned a modest stake into a windfall.
  2. Cloud9’s CS:GO ELEAGUE Major Win (2018) As a wildcard team, Cloud9 shocked FaZe Clan in the final. Anyone who backed them saw huge returns, proving that even against the odds, the underdog can shine.

Is Backing the Underdog Right for You?

Betting on underdogs can be a savvy move when you spot genuine value. Focus your research on team performance trends, up-to-date betting odds, and context around tournaments—local or global. While there’s no guarantee, strategic underdog betting can pay off handsomely. So, give it your all, sasa? Stay informed, stick to your plan and you might just turn those long shots into big wins.

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About the author
Samuel Kiprop
Samuel Kiprop
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Born in Nairobi, Samuel Kiprop expertly marries the world of online casinos with the pulse of Kenyan life. Fusing urban flair with cultural wisdom, he's a name to know in East African digital gaming.

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What does "underdog" mean in Kenyan esports betting?

In esports betting in Kenya, an "underdog" is the team or player that betting sites expect to lose. They have lower chances of winning against a stronger opponent, so the odds are higher if you bet on them.

Why do underdog bets have bigger odds?

Betting on underdogs in Kenya gives you bigger odds because it's riskier. Since they're less likely to win, betting platforms offer higher potential winnings to encourage these riskier bets. Think of it like betting on Shabana FC against Gor Mahia – the odds are higher for Shabana because they're the underdog.

When is betting on the underdog a good idea?

Sometimes, yes! If there's a big surprise game update (what gamers call a "meta shift"), if the favorite team isn't playing consistently, or if a team is underrated, the underdog might have a better chance. This is especially true in games like CS:GO or Dota 2.

What are the dangers of betting on underdogs?

The biggest danger is that you're likely to lose. Favorites usually win! Also, don't let your emotions cloud your judgment. Team changes or technical problems can also make things unpredictable.

How often do underdogs actually win in esports tournaments?

It doesn't happen often! Underdogs win less frequently. For instance, you might only see an underdog win around 20% of the time in a major tournament. But, if you do your research and make smart bets, you can get a good return.

What's good about betting on underdogs?

You can win more money if they win! It also makes the game more exciting to watch, and you might find a great team that others haven't noticed yet if you do your homework.

Is betting on underdogs worth the risk in Kenya?

It can be, if you're smart about it. Do your research, find good opportunities, and manage your betting money carefully. That way, you can increase your chances of winning while keeping the risks low.

How to bet on esports Underdog?

To bet on an esports underdog, first find a reputable Kenyan betting site that offers esports betting. Create an account, deposit funds using M-Pesa, and then navigate to the esports section. Select the match you want to bet on, find the underdog team, and place your bet.

Is Underdog sports betting legal?

Online sports betting, including betting on esports underdogs, is legal in Kenya, but it's regulated. Make sure you use licensed and reputable betting sites to ensure your money is safe and the betting is fair.

Does Underdog give you $1000?

Be wary of betting sites promising unrealistic bonuses like $1000. These are often scams. Stick to well-known and licensed betting platforms in Kenya that offer reasonable and transparent bonus offers.

Can you make real money on Underdog?

Yes, you can make real money betting on esports underdogs, but it requires skill and research. Don't expect to get rich quick. Treat it as a form of entertainment and only bet what you can afford to lose.