Betting on the Underdog in Esports: Is it Worth it?

Esports betting is one of the most popular forms of online betting, with millions of fans eager to test their skills and knowledge on their favourite esports games. One area that sparks curiosity is betting on underdog teams, teams with less chance of winning. But could this be a better strategy for a higher reward? EsportRanker provides insights into what an underdog team is, how to approach a good underdog bet in esports and weigh the pros and cons of underdog betting to help you decide whether it’s worth the risk.
What is an Underdog in Esports Betting?
In esports betting, the term underdog definition refers to teams or players expected to lose against a stronger opponent. Bookmakers assign higher odds to these teams due to their perceived lower chance of victory. For example, in a League of Legends matchup, a rookie team might face off against a seasoned squad, making the former the underdog.
Underdog Examples in Major Esports
Some common examples of underdog situations in esports include:
- League of Legends (LoL): A wildcard team making its first appearance at the World Championship.
- CS:GO (Counter-Strike: Global Offensive): Lesser-known regional teams facing dominant European squads.
- Dota 2: Teams that barely qualify for tournaments competing against previous champions.
How Odds Work for Underdog Bets
Bookmakers use odds to reflect the probability of an outcome. When you bet on an underdog, higher odds might lead to larger potential payouts. For example, betting $1 KES on a team with odds of 4.5 could yield $4.5 KES if they win. However, such bets carry significant risks, as favourites often dominate matches. Kenyan players looking to bet on underdogs should remember this.
Strategies for Esports Underdog Betting for Kenyan Bettors
Betting on the underdog in esports requires more than just gut instinct; it demands a calculated and strategic approach. Below are essential esports betting strategies to enhance your chances of success, especially for Kenyan players:
Research and Analysis
Success in underdog esports betting starts with thorough research. Analyze esports team performance, recent matches, player statistics, and even map preferences. For instance:
- Does the underdog team excel in specific game modes or maps?
- Are they facing a team notorious for inconsistency?
Identifying Valuable Opportunities
Not all underdog esports picks are worth the gamble. Look for factors that can tilt the odds in their favor:
- Underrated Teams: These are teams with strong strategies but limited exposure.
- Inconsistent Favorites: Teams with a history of underestimating weaker opponents.
- Meta Shifts: Sudden game patches can disrupt favorites and favor adaptable underdogs.
Bankroll Management
Betting on underdogs can be unpredictable. To minimize risks while maximizing long-term potential, allocate only a small portion of your bankroll to these bets and avoid chasing losses.
Pros and Cons of Betting on the Underdog
Betting on the underdog is known to have many disadvantages but that is not always the case. Here are some pros and cons to consider when betting on the underdog:
| 🏆 Pros | ⚠️ Cons |
|---|---|
| 💰 Higher Potential Returns: The main allure of underdog betting lies in the lucrative payouts. Even a small bet can yield substantial rewards. | 🎲 High Risk: Most underdogs lose, making it easy to drain your bankroll without proper strategy. |
| 🎉 Excitement: Cheering for the underdog adds thrill to esports viewing. | 🔄 Unpredictability: External factors like technical issues or roster changes can derail even promising underdogs. |
| 🔍 Opportunities for Insight: Careful analysis can uncover hidden gems, like teams with untapped potential. | ❤️ Emotional Bias: It’s tempting to bet on your favorite team, even when they’re an underdog, which can cloud judgment. |

Underdog Performance Statistics
Statistically, betting on esports underdogs offers lower success rates. For example, in the 2022 League of Legends World Championship, underdogs won only 18% of matches. However, calculated bets in select situations—such as Fnatic’s unexpected victory over T1 in the group stage—can pay off significantly, especially for esports championships or tournaments.
Real Examples of Underdog Victories in Esports
- OG’s Dota 2 Win at The International 2018
OG entered the tournament as a massive underdog, yet they triumphed over PSG.LGD in the finals, securing one of the biggest prize pools in esports history. Betting on OG in early rounds could have yielded staggering returns. - Cloud9’s CS:GO Major Championship Win (2018)
Cloud9 overcame tournament favorites FaZe Clan in a thrilling final to claim the ELEAGUE Major title. As a wildcard pick, Cloud9 rewarded bettors handsomely.
Conclusion: Is Betting on Underdogs Good in Esports?
So, is betting on underdogs good in esports? The answer lies in finding the right opportunities and approaching them strategically. Betting on underdogs can be highly rewarding when backed by solid research and analysis. Key factors such as team performance trends, betting odds of esports teams, and contextual insights play a critical role in identifying valuable bets. While it’s not a guaranteed path to success, underdog betting can be a smart move when the potential outweighs the risks. By staying informed and selective, bettors can make the most of these high-stakes opportunities in the world of esports.
FAQ
What does "underdog" mean in esports betting?
In esports betting, an underdog is the team or player expected to lose. Bookmakers in Kenya give underdogs higher odds because they are less likely to win. It's like betting on a smaller football team against a giant – the reward is bigger if they pull off a surprise victory!
Why do bets on underdogs pay more?
Betting on underdogs comes with more risk, so the payouts are higher. Since they're not expected to win, bookmakers offer better returns to encourage these bets. Think of it as a "high risk, high reward" situation.
When is it a good idea to bet on the underdog?
Keep an eye out for sudden game changes (meta shifts), inconsistent performance from favorites, or underrated teams. These situations can give underdogs an edge. Doing your research is key!
What are the dangers of betting on underdogs?
The main danger is that underdogs are likely to lose. Favorites are usually strong for a reason. Also, things like team changes or technical problems can make things even riskier. Remember to bet responsibly.
How often do underdogs actually win in big esports tournaments?
Underdogs don't win very often. But, if you do your homework and find the right situation, you can get a good return. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.
Why should I consider betting on underdogs?
Betting on underdogs can lead to bigger wins and makes the game more exciting. Plus, you might discover some hidden talent by doing your research. Just remember to gamble responsibly.
Is it worth the risk to bet on underdogs in Kenya?
If you're smart about it, betting on underdogs can be worthwhile. Do your research, find good opportunities, and manage your betting money carefully. This way, you can increase your chances of winning while keeping the risks low. Always bet responsibly.





